Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.840452 0.945955 1.060870 1.195538 1.349292 1.519663 1.723163
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.674029 0.815604 0.982536 1.194762 1.458628 1.777494 2.194413
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.573390 0.726884 0.917395 1.172877 1.509016 1.939600 2.538424
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.520373 0.685731 0.899958 1.200485 1.615414 2.174256 2.994297
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.464777 0.632548 0.857833 1.186104 1.658278 2.322116 3.342492
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.428155 0.599870 0.838038 1.197274 1.733722 2.518389 3.777690
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.389838 0.560288 0.803539 1.181845 1.765976 2.651312 4.128770
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.359453 0.528886 0.777139 1.174355 1.807135 2.798784 4.515978
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.322569 0.484347 0.726855 1.124607 1.775805 2.826778 4.707322
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.306487 0.469970 0.720907 1.143252 1.854810 3.039339 5.233789
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.292711 0.457866 0.717135 1.164385 1.938886 3.267279 5.812602
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.277227 0.441669 0.705232 1.170400 1.996812 3.454444 6.337526
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.261625 0.424431 0.690797 1.171720 2.048259 3.638344 6.885960
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.249453 0.412000 0.683418 1.184680 2.121953 3.870878 7.560676
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.232255 0.389650 0.657201 1.161255 2.125278 3.969731 7.975369
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.224843 0.383658 0.658899 1.188792 2.227551 4.270371 8.850859
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.211658 0.366475 0.639311 1.174535 2.246539 4.406039 9.386218
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.203255 0.357249 0.633347 1.185589 2.316615 4.652799 10.201459
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.191895 0.341820 0.614784 1.170326 2.331127 4.783606 10.766123
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.182454 0.329316 0.600794 1.162916 2.361108 4.950372 11.438190
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.168520 0.307467 0.567531 1.113701 2.297185 4.902901 11.579150
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.163722 0.302764 0.567085 1.132146 2.382146 5.200001 12.626887
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.159472 0.298829 0.567828 1.153053 2.474419 5.523796 13.791185